Climate Risk Modeling and Economic Integrated Assessment
NILU develops advanced models that explicitly represent micro- and macro-economic mechanisms along with social dynamics, integrating these with models and assessments of health, environmental, ecosystem, and climate impacts.
Economic-environment modeling provides insights for creating resilient, adaptive, and sustainable human-environment systems, at any scale – from local communities to international treaties.
Contacts
Daniel Moran
Senior Scientist
Riccardo Boero
Senior Scientist
Francis Barre
Scientist / PhD CandidateOur Expertise
Cost-benefit analyses integrating socio-economic and environmental impacts.
Policy advice on circular economy strategies.
Ultra-fine-scaled assessments of socio-economic impacts and of their propagation through space, value chains, and time.
Analyses of macroeconomic impacts and (public) fiscal sustainability of health and environmental policies.
Mechanism design to support the integration and diffusion of renewable energies.
Development of decision support systems integrating socio-economic and environmental impacts.
Examples of services
- At NILU, we use Input-Output (IO), Environmentally Extended IO (EEIO), and Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models to better represent and understand value chains, consumption dynamics, and public policies both in linear and circular economies.
- We rely on official statistics, remote sensing, satellite imagery, crowd-sourced data, and advanced econometric and machine learning techniques for model calibration and validation.
- We couple socio-economic models with other approaches such as MFA, LCA, ESMs, etc. to support the design and implementation of health and environmental policies.
- We use behaviorally sound microeconomic modeling to design and optimize economic mechanisms (e.g., tariffs, subsides) supporting the green transition and climate adaptation.
Related projects
ActMap – Mapping Economic Activity at Fine Spatial and Sectoral Resolution
European Topic Centre – Climate Change Mitigation
CE-RISE – Circular Economy Resource Information System
